A Nasal Swab Classifier to Evaluate the Probability of Lung Cancer in Patients With Pulmonary Nodules.

BACKGROUND: Accurate assessment of the probability of lung cancer (pCA) is critical in patients with pulmonary nodules (PNs) to help guide decision-making. We sought to validate a clinical-genomic classifier developed using whole-transcriptome sequencing of nasal epithelial cells from patients with a PN ≤ 30 mm who smoke or have previously smoked. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can the pCA in individuals with a PN and a history of smoking be predicted by a classifier that uses clinical factors and genomic data from nasal epithelial cells obtained by cytologic brushing? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Machine learning was used to train a classifier using genomic and clinical features on 1,120 patients with PNs labeled as benign or malignant established by a final diagnosis or a minimum of 12 months of radiographic surveillance. The classifier was designed to yield low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories. The classifier was validated in an independent set of 312 patients, including 63 patients with a prior history of cancer (other than lung cancer), comparing the classifier prediction with the known clinical outcome. RESULTS: In the primary validation set, sensitivity and specificity for low-risk classification were 96% and 42%, whereas sensitivity and specificity for high-risk classification was 58% and 90%, respectively. Sensitivity was similar across stages of non-small cell lung cancer, independent of subtype. Performance compared favorably with clinical-only risk models. Analysis of 63 patients with prior cancer showed similar performance as did subanalyses of patients with light vs heavy smoking burden and those eligible for lung cancer screening vs those who were not. INTERPRETATION: The nasal classifier provides an accurate assessment of pCA in individuals with a PN ≤ 30 mm who smoke or have previously smoked. Classifier-guided decision-making could lead to fewer diagnostic procedures in patients without cancer and more timely treatment in patients with lung cancer.

Real-World Performance of the Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC)-A Meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: The Afirma® GSC aids in risk stratifying indeterminate thyroid nodule cytology (ITN). The 2018 GSC validation study (VS) reported a sensitivity (SN) of 91%, specificity (SP) of 68%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 47%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 96%. Since then, 13 independent real-world (RW) postvalidation studies have been published. OBJECTIVE: This study's objective is to compare the RW GSC performance to the VS metrics. METHODS: Rules and assumptions applying to this analysis include: (1) At least 1 patient with molecular benign results must have surgery for that study to be included in SN, SP, and NPV analyses. (2) Molecular benign results without surgical histology are considered true negatives (TN) (as are molecular benign results with benign surgical histology). (3) Unoperated patients with suspicious results are either excluded from analysis (observed PPV [oPPV] and observed SP [oSP]) or assumed histology negatives (false positives; conservative PPV [cPPV] and conservative SP [cSP]) 4. Noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features is considered malignant. RESULTS: In RW studies, the GSC demonstrates a SN, oSP, oPPV, and NPV of 97%, 88%, 65%, 99% respectively, and conservative RW performance showed cSP of 80% and cPPV of 49%, all significantly higher than the VS except for SN and cPPV. There was also a higher benign call rate (BCR) of 67% in RW studies compared to 54% in the VS (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: RW data for the Afirma GSC demonstrates significantly better oSP and oPPV performance than the VS, indicating an increased yield of cancers for resected GSC suspicious nodules. The higher BCR likely increases the overall rate of clinical observation in lieu of surgery.

Comparing modalities for risk assessment in patients with pulmonary lesions and nondiagnostic bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bronchoscopy is commonly utilized for non-surgical sampling of indeterminant pulmonary lesions, but nondiagnostic procedures are common. Accurate assessment of the risk of malignancy is essential for decision making in these patients, yet we lack tools that perform well across this heterogeneous group of patients. We sought to evaluate the accuracy of three previously validated risk models and physician-assessed risk (PAR) in patients with a newly identified lung lesion undergoing bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer where the result is nondiagnostic. METHODS: We performed an analysis of prospective data collected for the Percepta Bronchial Genomic Classifier Multicenter Registry. PAR and three previously validated risk models (Mayo Clinic, Veteran's Affairs, and Brock) were used to determine the probability of lung cancer (low, intermediate, or high) in 375 patients with pulmonary lesions who underwent bronchoscopy for possible lung cancer with nondiagnostic pathology. Results were compared to the actual adjudicated prevalence of malignancy in each pre-test risk group, determined with a minimum of 12 months follow up after bronchoscopy. RESULTS: PAR and the risk models performed poorly overall in the assessment of risk in this patient population. PAR most closely matched the observed prevalence of malignancy in patients at 12 months after bronchoscopy, but all modalities had a low area under the curve, and in all clinical models more than half of all the lesions labeled as high risk were truly or likely benign. The studied risk model calculators overestimate the risk of malignancy compared to PAR, particularly in the subset in older patients, irregularly bordered nodules, and masses > 3 cm. Overall, the risk models perform only slightly better when confined to lung nodules < 3 cm in this population. CONCLUSION: The currently available tools for the assessment of risk of malignancy perform suboptimally in patients with nondiagnostic findings following a bronchoscopic evaluation for lung cancer. More accurate and objective tools for risk assessment are needed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: not applicable.

Reclassification of risk of malignancy with Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier following nondiagnostic bronchoscopy.

INTRODUCTION: Bronchoscopic sampling of pulmonary lesions suspicious for lung cancer is frequently nondiagnostic. A genomic sequencing classifier utilizing bronchial brushings obtained at the time of the bronchoscopy has been shown to provide an accurate reclassification of the risk of malignancy (ROM) based on pre-procedure risk. Our objectives for this study were to determine the frequency with which the classifier up- or down-classifies risk in regular clinical practice and to model the potential clinical utility of that reclassification. METHODS: This observational study retrospectively assessed data from four clinical sites that regularly use the genomic classifier in the bronchoscopic evaluation of indeterminate lesions. Demographics and pre-bronchoscopy ROM were recorded. The frequency of up- and down-classification was calculated. Modeling based on reclassification rates and the performance characteristics of the classifier was performed to demonstrate the potential clinical utility of the result. RESULTS: 86 patients who underwent classifier testing following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy were included. 45% of patients with high ROM prior to bronchoscopy were reclassified very high-risk. 38% of patients with intermediate ROM were up-or down-classified. 56% of patients with low ROM were reclassified to very low-risk. Overall, 42% of patients had a change in classification. 35% of the study cohort could potentially have avoided additional unnecessary procedures with subsequent guideline-adherent management. CONCLUSIONS: The classifier can guide decision-making following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy, reclassifying risk in a significant percentage of cases. Use of the classifier should allow more patients with early-stage cancer to proceed directly to curative therapy while helping more patients with benign disease avoid further unnecessary procedures.

Preoperative Identification of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma (MTC): Clinical Validation of the Afirma MTC RNA-Sequencing Classifier.

Background: Cytopathological evaluation of thyroid fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) specimens can fail to raise preoperative suspicion of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). The Afirma RNA-sequencing MTC classifier identifies MTC among FNA samples that are cytologically indeterminate, suspicious, or malignant (Bethesda categories III-VI). In this study we report the development and clinical performance of this MTC classifier. Methods: Algorithm training was performed with a set of 483 FNAB specimens (21 MTC and 462 non-MTC). A support vector machine classifier was developed using 108 differentially expressed genes, which includes the 5 genes in the prior Afirma microarray-based MTC cassette. Results: The final MTC classifier was blindly tested on 211 preoperative FNAB specimens with subsequent surgical pathology, including 21 MTC and 190 non-MTC specimens from benign and malignant thyroid nodules independent from those used in training. The classifier had 100% sensitivity (21/21 MTC FNAB specimens correctly called positive; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 83.9-100%) and 100% specificity (190/190 non-MTC FNAs correctly called negative; CI = 98.1-100%). All positive samples had pathological confirmation of MTC, while all negative samples were negative for MTC on surgical pathology. Conclusions: The RNA-sequencing MTC classifier accurately identified MTC from preoperative thyroid nodule FNAB specimens in an independent validation cohort. This identification may facilitate an MTC-specific preoperative evaluation and resulting treatment.

Clinical validation and utility of Percepta GSC for the evaluation of lung cancer.

The Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) was developed to up-classify as well as down-classify the risk of malignancy for lung lesions when bronchoscopy is non-diagnostic. We evaluated the performance of Percepta GSC in risk re-classification of indeterminate lung lesions. This multicenter study included individuals who currently or formerly smoked undergoing bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer from the AEGIS I/ II cohorts and the Percepta Registry. The classifier was measured in normal-appearing bronchial epithelium from bronchial brushings. The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were calculated using predefined thresholds. The ability of the classifier to decrease unnecessary invasive procedures was estimated. A set of 412 patients were included in the validation (prevalence of malignancy was 39.6%). Overall, 29% of intermediate-risk lung lesions were down-classified to low-risk with a 91.0% negative predictive value (NPV) and 12.2% of intermediate-risk lesions were up-classified to high-risk with a 65.4% positive predictive value (PPV). In addition, 54.5% of low-risk lesions were down-classified to very low risk with >99% NPV and 27.3% of high-risk lesions were up-classified to very high risk with a 91.5% PPV. If the classifier results were used in nodule management, 50% of patients with benign lesions and 29% of patients with malignant lesions undergoing additional invasive procedures could have avoided these procedures. The Percepta GSC is highly accurate as both a rule-out and rule-in test. This high accuracy of risk re-classification may lead to improved management of lung lesions.

Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier and decision-making in patients with high-risk lung nodules: a decision impact study.

BACKGROUND: Incidental and screening-identified lung nodules are common, and a bronchoscopic evaluation is frequently nondiagnostic. The Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) is a genomic classifier developed in current and former smokers which can be used for further risk stratification in these patients. Percepta GSC has the capability of up-classifying patients with a pre-bronchoscopy risk that is high (> 60%) to "very high risk" with a positive predictive value of 91.5%. This prospective, randomized decision impact survey was designed to test the hypothesis that an up-classification of risk of malignancy from high to very high will increase the rate of referral for surgical or ablative therapy without additional intervening procedures while increasing physician confidence. METHODS: Data were collected from 37 cases from the Percepta GSC validation cohort in which the pre-bronchoscopy risk of malignancy was high (> 60%), the bronchoscopy was nondiagnostic, and the patient was up-classified to very high risk by Percepta GSC. The cases were randomly presented to U.S pulmonologists in three formats: a pre-post cohort where each case is presented initially without and then with a GSG result, and two independent cohorts where each case is presented either with or without with a GSC result. Physicians were surveyed with respect to subsequent management steps and confidence in that decision. RESULTS: One hundred and one survey takers provided a total of 1341 evaluations of the 37 patient cases across the three different cohorts. The rate of recommendation for surgical resection was significantly higher in the independent cohort with a GSC result compared to the independent cohort without a GSC result (45% vs. 17%, p < 0.001) In the pre-post cross-over cohort, the rate increased from 17 to 56% (p < 0.001) following the review of the GSC result. A GSC up-classification from high to very high risk of malignancy increased Pulmonologists' confidence in decision-making following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: Use of the Percepta GSC classifier will allow more patients with early lung cancer to proceed more rapidly to potentially curative therapy while decreasing unnecessary intervening diagnostic procedures following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy.

The Impact of the Envisia Genomic Classifier in the Diagnosis and Management of Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: The diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) remains challenging and can result in delayed or misdiagnosis. IPF diagnosis is based on the presence of either a radiographic or histologic usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern in the absence of an identifiable etiology. The Envisia Genomic Classifier is a clinically validated molecular diagnostic test that identifies UIP in transbronchial biopsies. Objectives: To determine the impact of the Envisia Genomic Classifier on physicians' clinical decision-making in the diagnosis and management of IPF. Methods: This prospective randomized decision impact survey was designed to test the hypothesis that including an Envisia UIP-positive result will increase IPF diagnoses, diagnostic confidence, and the recommendation for antifibrotic therapy. The survey included patients from the BRAVE (Bronchial Sample Collection for a Novel Genomic Test) study who had a high-resolution computed tomographic scan without a typical UIP pattern, an Envisia UIP-positive result, and a final diagnosis of IPF by multidisciplinary team discussion. Each case was presented in three different formats: a pre-post cohort, where each case is presented initially without and then with Envisia, and two independent cohorts, where each case is presented without and with Envisia, respectively. Results: U.S.-based pulmonologists from community and academic centers in geographically diverse practices were approached for inclusion in this study. 103 (65%) U.S.-based pulmonologists met the inclusion criteria and provided 605 case reviews of 11 patient cases. The number of IPF diagnoses increased with Envisia by an absolute difference of 39% from 47 (30%) before Envisia to 107 (69%) after Envisia in the pre-post cohort and by 13% in the independent cohorts. High confidence (⩾90%) of interstitial lung disease diagnoses was more commonly seen with Envisia in both the pre-post cohort and in the independent cohorts. Recommendation for antifibrotic treatment increased with Envisia by an absolute difference of 36% from 15 (10%) before Envisia to 72 (46.4%) after Envisia in the pre-post cohort and by 11% in the independent cohorts. Conclusions: This decision impact survey suggests the clinical utility of the Envisia Classifier by demonstrating a significant increase in IPF diagnoses, diagnostic confidence, and recommendation for antifibrotic therapies to assist physicians in effectively managing patients to improve outcomes of patients with IPF.

Risk of malignancy in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules harboring thyroid stimulating hormone receptor mutations.

Objectives: To evaluate the frequency and risk of malignancy of TSHRpI568T mutations discovered in indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) within the Veracyte CLIA laboratory undergoing Afirma® Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) testing, and to evaluate a broader cohort of TSHR variants and their categorization as Afirma GSC benign (GSC-B) or suspicious (GSC-S). Finally, we seek to assess the risk of malignancy (ROM) of this group of TSHR mutated ITN in the GSC-S category. Methods: ITN submitted to Veracyte for Afirma GSC testing between October 2017 and February 2022 were analyzed for TSHR variants and rates of GSC-B and GSC-S were calculated based upon BIII or IV cytology, by TSHR variant codon amino acid (AA) substitution, age, and gender. For GSC-S samples, surgical pathology reports were requested, and the rate of malignancy was calculated. Results: Five percent of the ITN samples harbored an isolated TSHR variant and 5% of those were classified as GSC-S. Among TSHRpI568T samples, 96% were GSC-B and of the GSC-S samples, 21% were malignant. Among an unselected group of TSHR, absent TSHRpI568T mutations, 16.3% of GSC-S samples were malignant, all but one with codon mutations in the transmembrane subdomains of the TSHR. This prompted a dedicated evaluation of transmembrane codons which revealed a malignancy rate of 10.7% among GSC-S nodules. In total, 13/85 (15.3%) TSHR mutated ITN with Afirma GSC-S results were found to be malignant. Conclusions: TSHR variants are rare in ITN, and most are categorized as benign under Afirma GSC testing which carries a < 4% risk of malignancy. For GSC-S ITN with TSHR mutations, the risk of malignancy is ≥= 15%, which is clinically meaningful and may alter treatment or monitoring recommendations for patients.

Maximizing Small Biopsy Patient Samples: Unified RNA-Seq Platform Assessment of over 120,000 Patient Biopsies.

Despite its wide-ranging benefits, whole-transcriptome or RNA exome profiling is challenging to implement in a clinical diagnostic setting. The Unified Assay is a comprehensive workflow wherein exome-enriched RNA-sequencing (RNA-Seq) assays are performed on clinical samples and analyzed by a series of advanced machine learning-based classifiers. Gene expression signatures and rare and/or novel genomic events, including fusions, mitochondrial variants, and loss of heterozygosity were assessed using RNA-Seq data generated from 120,313 clinical samples across three clinical indications (thyroid cancer, lung cancer, and interstitial lung disease). Since its implementation, the data derived from the Unified Assay have allowed significantly more patients to avoid unnecessary diagnostic surgery and have played an important role in guiding follow-up decisions regarding treatment. Collectively, data from the Unified Assay show the utility of RNA-Seq and RNA expression signatures in the clinical laboratory, and their importance to the future of precision medicine.

Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier and Xpression Atlas Molecular Findings in Consecutive Bethesda III-VI Thyroid Nodules.

CONTEXT: Broad genomic analyses among thyroid histologies have been described from relatively small cohorts. OBJECTIVE: Investigate the molecular findings across a large, real-world cohort of thyroid fine-needle aspiration (FNA) samples. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of RNA sequencing data files. SETTING: Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments laboratory performing Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) and Xpression Atlas (XA) testing. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 50 644 consecutive Bethesda III-VI nodules. INTERVENTION: None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Molecular test results. RESULTS: Of 48 952 Bethesda III/IV FNAs studied, 66% were benign by Afirma GSC. The prevalence of BRAF V600E was 2% among all Bethesda III/IV FNAs and 76% among Bethesda VI FNAs. Fusions involving NTRK, RET, BRAF, and ALK were most prevalent in Bethesda V (10%), and 130 different gene partners were identified. Among small consecutive Bethesda III/IV sample cohorts with one of these fusions and available surgical pathology excision data, the positive predictive value of an NTRK or RET fusion for carcinoma or noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features was >95%, whereas for BRAF and ALK fusions it was 81% and 67%, respectively. At least 1 genomic alteration was identified by the expanded Afirma XA panel in 70% of medullary thyroid carcinoma classifier-positive FNAs, 44% of Bethesda III or IV Afirma GSC suspicious FNAs, 64% of Bethesda V FNAs, and 87% of Bethesda VI FNAs. CONCLUSIONS: This large study demonstrates that almost one-half of Bethesda III/IV Afirma GSC suspicious and most Bethesda V/VI nodules had at least 1 genomic variant or fusion identified, which may optimize personalized treatment decisions.

Analytical validation of the Percepta genomic sequencing classifier; an RNA next generation sequencing assay for the assessment of Lung Cancer risk of suspicious pulmonary nodules.

BACKGROUND: Bronchoscopy is a common procedure used for evaluation of suspicious lung nodules, but the low diagnostic sensitivity of bronchoscopy often results in inconclusive results and delays in treatment. Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) was developed to assist with patient management in cases where bronchoscopy is inconclusive. Studies have shown that exposure to tobacco smoke alters gene expression in airway epithelial cells in a way that indicates an increased risk of developing lung cancer. Percepta GSC leverages this idea of a molecular "field of injury" from smoking and was developed using RNA sequencing data generated from lung bronchial brushings of the upper airway. A Percepta GSC score is calculated from an ensemble of machine learning algorithms utilizing clinical and genomic features and is used to refine a patient's risk stratification. METHODS: The objective of the analysis described and reported here is to validate the analytical performance of Percepta GSC. Analytical performance studies characterized the sensitivity of Percepta GSC test results to input RNA quantity, the potentially interfering agents of blood and genomic DNA, and the reproducibility of test results within and between processing runs and between laboratories. RESULTS: Varying the amount of input RNA into the assay across a nominal range had no significant impact on Percepta GSC classifier results. Bronchial brushing RNA contaminated with up to 10% genomic DNA by nucleic acid mass also showed no significant difference on classifier results. The addition of blood RNA, a potential contaminant in the bronchial brushing sample, caused no change to classifier results at up to 11% contamination by RNA proportion. Percepta GSC scores were reproducible between runs, within runs, and between laboratories, varying within less than 4% of the total score range (standard deviation of 0.169 for scores on 4.57 scale). CONCLUSIONS: The analytical sensitivity, analytical specificity, and reproducibility of Percepta GSC laboratory results were successfully demonstrated under conditions of expected day to day variation in testing. Percepta GSC test results are analytically robust and suitable for routine clinical use.

Utility of a Molecular Classifier as a Complement to High-Resolution Computed Tomography to Identify Usual Interstitial Pneumonia.

Rationale: Usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) is the defining morphology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Guidelines for IPF diagnosis conditionally recommend surgical lung biopsy for histopathology diagnosis of UIP when radiology and clinical context are not definitive. A "molecular diagnosis of UIP" in transbronchial lung biopsy, the Envisia Genomic Classifier, accurately predicted histopathologic UIP.Objectives: We evaluated the combined accuracy of the Envisia Genomic Classifier and local radiology in the detection of UIP pattern.Methods: Ninety-six patients who had diagnostic lung pathology as well as a transbronchial lung biopsy for molecular testing with Envisia Genomic Classifier were included in this analysis. The classifier results were scored against reference pathology. UIP identified on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) as documented by features in local radiologists' reports was compared with histopathology.Measurements and Main Results: In 96 patients, the Envisia Classifier achieved a specificity of 92.1% (confidence interval [CI],78.6-98.3%) and a sensitivity of 60.3% (CI, 46.6-73.0%) for histology-proven UIP pattern. Local radiologists identified UIP in 18 of 53 patients with UIP histopathology, with a sensitivity of 34.0% (CI, 21.5-48.3%) and a specificity of 96.9% (CI, 83.8-100%). In conjunction with HRCT patterns of UIP, the Envisia Classifier results identified 24 additional patients with UIP (sensitivity 79.2%; specificity 90.6%).Conclusions: In 96 patients with suspected interstitial lung disease, the Envisia Genomic Classifier identified UIP regardless of HRCT pattern. These results suggest that recognition of a UIP pattern by the Envisia Genomic Classifier combined with HRCT and clinical factors in a multidisciplinary discussion may assist clinicians in making an interstitial lung disease (especially IPF) diagnosis without the need for a surgical lung biopsy.

Impact of the Percepta Genomic Classifier on Clinical Management Decisions in a Multicenter Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: The Percepta genomic classifier has been clinically validated as a complement to bronchoscopy for lung nodule evaluation. RESEARCH QUESTION: The goal of this study was to examine the impact on clinical management decisions of the Percepta result in patients with low- and intermediate-risk lung nodules. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A prospective "real world" registry was instituted across 35 US centers to observe physician management of pulmonary nodules following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy. To assess the impact on management decisions of the Percepta genomic classifier, a subset of patients was analyzed who had an inconclusive bronchoscopy for a pulmonary nodule, a Percepta result, and an adjudicated lung diagnosis with at least 1 year of follow-up. In this cohort, change in the decision to pursue additional invasive procedures following Percepta results was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 283 patients met the study eligibility criteria. In patients with a low/intermediate risk of malignancy for whom the clinician had designated a plan for a subsequent invasive procedure, a negative Percepta result down-classified the risk of malignancy in 34.3% of cases. Of these down-classified patients, 73.9% had a change in their management plan from an invasive procedure to surveillance, and the majority avoided a procedure up to 12 months following the initial evaluation. In patients with confirmed lung cancers, the time to diagnosis was not significantly delayed when comparing Percepta down-classified patients vs patients who were not down-classified (P = .58). INTERPRETATION: The down-classification of nodule malignancy risk with the Percepta test decreased additional invasive procedures without a delay in time to diagnosis among those with lung cancer.

Improving lung cancer risk stratification leveraging whole transcriptome RNA sequencing and machine learning across multiple cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer has low diagnostic sensitivity, rendering many inconclusive results. The Bronchial Genomic Classifier (BGC) was developed to help with patient management by identifying those with low risk of lung cancer when bronchoscopy is inconclusive. The BGC was trained and validated on patients in the Airway Epithelial Gene Expression in the Diagnosis of Lung Cancer (AEGIS) trials. A modern patient cohort, the BGC Registry, showed differences in key clinical factors from the AEGIS cohorts, with less smoking history, smaller nodules and older age. Additionally, we discovered interfering factors (inhaled medication and sample collection timing) that impacted gene expressions and potentially disguised genomic cancer signals. METHODS: In this study, we leveraged multiple cohorts and next generation sequencing technology to develop a robust Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC). To address demographic composition shift and interfering factors, we synergized three algorithmic strategies: 1) ensemble of clinical dominant and genomic dominant models; 2) development of hierarchical regression models where the main effects from clinical variables were regressed out prior to the genomic impact being fitted in the model; and 3) targeted placement of genomic and clinical interaction terms to stabilize the effect of interfering factors. The final GSC model uses 1232 genes and four clinical covariates - age, pack-years, inhaled medication use, and specimen collection timing. RESULTS: In the validation set (N = 412), the GSC down-classified low and intermediate pre-test risk subjects to very low and low post-test risk with a specificity of 45% (95% CI 37-53%) and a sensitivity of 91% (95%CI 81-97%), resulting in a negative predictive value of 95% (95% CI 89-98%). Twelve percent of intermediate pre-test risk subjects were up-classified to high post-test risk with a positive predictive value of 65% (95%CI 44-82%), and 27% of high pre-test risk subjects were up-classified to very high post-test risk with a positive predictive value of 91% (95% CI 78-97%). CONCLUSIONS: The GSC overcame the impact of interfering factors and achieved consistent performance across multiple cohorts. It demonstrated diagnostic accuracy in both down- and up-classification of cancer risk, providing physicians actionable information for many patients with inconclusive bronchoscopy.

An Evaluation of Diagnostic Yield From Bronchoscopy: The Impact of Clinical/Radiographic Factors, Procedure Type, and Degree of Suspicion for Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bronchoscopy is commonly used to evaluate suspicious lung lesions. The yield is likely dependent on patient, radiographic, and bronchoscopic factors. Few studies have assessed these factors simultaneously while also including the preprocedure physician-assessed probability of cancer (pCA) when assessing yield. METHODS: This study is a secondary data analysis from a prospective multicenter trial. Diagnostic yield of standard bronchoscopy with biopsy ± fluoroscopy, endobronchial ultrasound with transbronchial needle aspiration (EBUS-TBNA), electromagnetic navigation, and combination bronchoscopies was assessed. Definitions for diagnostic and nondiagnostic bronchoscopies were rigorously predefined. The association of diagnostic yield with individual variables was examined by using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses where appropriate. RESULTS: A total of 687 patients were included from 28 sites. Overall diagnostic yield was 69%; 80% for EBUS, 55% for bronchoscopy with biopsy ± fluoroscopy, 57% for electromagnetic navigation, and 74% for combination procedures (P < .001). Patients with larger, central lesions with adenopathy were significantly more likely to undergo a diagnostic bronchoscopy. Patients with pCA < 10% and 10% to 60% had lower yields (44% and 42%, respectively), whereas pCA > 60% yielded a positive result in 77% (P < .001). In multivariate logistic regression, the use of EBUS-TBNA, larger sized lesions, and central location were significantly associated with a diagnostic bronchoscopy. Seventeen percent of those with a malignant diagnosis and 28% of those with a benign diagnosis required secondary procedures to establish a diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to assess the yield of bronchoscopy according to physician-assessed pCA in a large, prospective multicenter trial. The yield of bronchoscopy varied greatly according to physician suspicion that cancer is present, the patients' clinical/radiographic features, and the type of procedure performed. Of the procedures performed, EBUS-TBNA was the most likely to provide a diagnosis.

Analytical and Clinical Validation of Expressed Variants and Fusions From the Whole Transcriptome of Thyroid FNA Samples.

Introduction: The Afirma® Xpression Atlas (XA) detects gene variants and fusions in thyroid nodule FNA samples from a curated panel of 511 genes using whole-transcriptome RNA-sequencing. Its intended use is among cytologically indeterminate nodules that are Afirma GSC suspicious, Bethesda V/VI nodules, or known thyroid metastases. Here we report its analytical and clinical validation. Methods: DNA and RNA were purified from the same sample across 943 blinded FNAs and compared by multiple methodologies, including whole-transcriptome RNA-seq, targeted RNA-seq, and targeted DNA-seq. An additional 695 blinded FNAs were used to define performance for fusions between whole-transcriptome RNA-seq and targeted RNA-seq. We quantified the reproducibility of the whole-transcriptome RNA-seq assay across laboratories and reagent lots. Finally, variants and fusions were compared to histopathology results. Results: Of variants detected in DNA at 5 or 20% variant allele frequency, 74 and 88% were also detected by XA, respectively. XA variant detection was 89% when compared to an alternative RNA-based detection method. Low levels of expression of the DNA allele carrying the variant, compared with the wild-type allele, was found in some variants not detected by XA. 82% of gene fusions detected in a targeted RNA fusion assay were detected by XA. Conversely, nearly all variants or fusions detected by XA were confirmed by an alternative method. Analytical validation studies demonstrated high intra-plate reproducibility (89%-94%), inter-plate reproducibility (86-91%), and inter-lab accuracy (90%). Multiple variants and fusions previously described across the spectrum of thyroid cancers were identified by XA, including some with approved or investigational targeted therapies. Among 190 Bethesda III/IV nodules, the sensitivity of XA as a standalone test was 49%. Conclusion: When the Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) is used first among Bethesda III/IV nodules as a rule-out test, XA supplements genomic insight among those that are GSC suspicious. Our data clinically and analytically validate XA for use among GSC suspicious, or Bethesda V/VI nodules. Genomic information provided by XA may inform clinical decision-making with precision medicine insights across a broad range of FNA sample types encountered in the care of patients with thyroid nodules and thyroid cancer.

Analytical Verification Performance of Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier in the Diagnosis of Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.

Background: Fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology, a diagnostic test central to thyroid nodule management, may yield indeterminate results in up to 30% of cases. The Afirma® Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) was developed and clinically validated to utilize genomic material obtained during the FNA to accurately identify benign nodules among those deemed cytologically indeterminate so that diagnostic surgery can be avoided. A key question for diagnostic tests is their robustness under different perturbations that may occur in the lab. Herein, we describe the analytical performance of the Afirma GSC. Results: We examined the analytical sensitivity of the Afirma GSC to varied input RNA amounts and the limit of detection of malignant signals with heterogenous samples mixed with adjacent normal or benign tissues. We also evaluated the analytical specificity from potential interfering substances such as blood and genomic DNA. Further, the inter-laboratory, intra-run, and inter-run reproducibility of the assay were examined. Analytical sensitivity analysis showed that Afirma GSC calls are tolerant to variation in RNA input amount (5-30 ng), and up to 75% dilution of malignant FNA material. Analytical specificity studies demonstrated Afirma GSC remains accurate in presence of up to 75% blood or 30% genomic DNA. The Afirma GSC results are highly reproducible across different operators, runs, reagent lots, and laboratories. Conclusion: The analytical robustness and reproducibility of the Afirma GSC test support its routine clinical use among thyroid nodules with indeterminant FNA cytology.